Ganjar Pranowo Dominates Latest Australian Poll, Setting Stage for 2024 Election Battle
- Viva.co.id
Siap –In a groundbreaking survey conducted by Australia's Roy Morgan Research Institute, Presidential Candidate Number 3, Ganjar Pranowo, emerges as the frontrunner, surpassing Anies Baswedan and Prabowo Subianto.
The survey, executed between July and September 2023, canvassed the opinions of 2,630 Indonesian voters aged 17 and above.
It's noteworthy that the survey predates the strategic moves by Jokowi's family, initiated with the Constitutional Court's decision.
According to the findings, Ganjar Pranowo secures a significant 38% of the total votes, marking a remarkable 10% increase since the March 2023 quarter.
This places him ahead of Prabowo Subianto, who achieves 30% (a rise of 13%), and Anies with 25% (a surge of 10%). Approximately 7% of participants express a preference for none of the three candidates.
Furthermore, the survey unveils Ganjar's dominance in the populous Java Island, where he commands a robust 41% support, outpacing Prabowo (29%) and Anies (25%) by more than 10%, as stated by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine on Friday 15 December 2023.
Meanwhile, on Sumatra Island, the second most densely populated in Indonesia with 60 million inhabitants, Prabowo contends closely with Ganjar, securing 33% of the vote compared to Ganjar's 33%, while Anies trails with 28%.
In the Sulawesi region, Prabowo takes the lead with 42%, defeating Ganjar with 33% support and Anies with 22%.
On Kalimantan Island, Prabowo (30%) narrowly surpasses Ganjar (25%) and Anies (25%).
Levine concludes that Ganjar, with 38% backing, stands as the strongest contender to succeed the current President Jokowi, also affiliated with the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle.
However, considering the tight electability competition among the three candidates, Levine suggests that the possibility of a second round of Presidential Elections remains wide open.
"None of the three candidates is within an absolute majority of support. This implies that a runoff election might be on the horizon," asserts Levine.
